This is an important question, given that the consequence is that what is called in the jargon the “tilted balance” applies, namely that planning permission should be granted for any development proposal unless:
- The application of policies in the NPPF “that protect areas or assets of particular importance provides a clear reason for refusing the development proposed” – those areas and assets being habitats sites, SSSIs, green belt, local green space, AONBs (now “national landscapes”), national parks, Heritage Coast, irreplaceable habitats, designated heritage assets (and some other heritage assets of archaeological value) and areas at risk of flooding or coastal change; or
- “Any adverse impacts of doing so would significantly and demonstrably outweigh the benefits, when assessed against the policies in [the NPPF] taken as a whole, in particular those for the location and design of development … and for securing affordable homes”; or
- The proposal would conflict with a neighbourhood plan which is no more than five years old and contains policies and allocations to meet its identified housing requirement.
The new Government is of course not just consulting on the draft revised NPPF but on a revised “standard method” for determining local housing need (see chapter 4 of its consultation document) and that standard method would significantly increase the local housing plan figure for most authorities. The effect for each authority is shown on this MHCLG spreadsheet or visually on Lichfields’ interactive map.
Maybe it’s just me but I found it quite difficult to get straight in my mind when an authority’s failure to demonstrate a five year supply of housing land to meet the new local housing need figure would mean that its local plan is to be treated as “out of date” such that the tilted balance applies. Here’s my thinking and it perhaps points to some areas where the draft revised NPPF needs to be tightened or at least made clearer.
Paragraph references in what follows are to the draft revised document.
- The reference in paragraph 11 (d) is to “where “the policies for the supply of land are out of date”
- Footnote 9 explains that:
“This includes, for applications involving the provision of housing, situations where: (a) the local planning authority cannot demonstrate a five year supply of deliverable housing sites (with the appropriate buffer, if applicable, as set out in paragraph 76); or (b) where the Housing Delivery Test indicates that the delivery of housing was substantially below (less than 75% of) the housing requirement over the previous three years.”
- Paragraph 76 states:
“Strategic policies should include a trajectory illustrating the expected rate of housing delivery over the plan period, and all plans should consider whether it is appropriate to set out the anticipated rate of development for specific sites. Local planning authorities should identify and update annually a supply of specific deliverable sites sufficient to provide a minimum of five years’ worth of housing against their housing requirement set out in adopted strategic policies, or against their local housing need where the strategic policies are more than five years old. The supply of specific deliverable sites should in addition include a buffer (moved forward from later in the plan period) of:
- 5% to ensure choice and competition in the market for land; or
- 20% where there has been significant under delivery of housing over the previous three years, to improve the prospect of achieving the planned supply”
- Paragraphs 224 and 225 state:
“224. The policies in this Framework are material considerations which should be taken into account in dealing with applications from the day of its publication. Plans may also need to be revised to reflect policy changes which this Framework has made.
225. However, existing policies should not be considered out-of-date simply because they were adopted or made prior to the publication of this Framework. Due weight should be given to them, according to their degree of consistency with this Framework (the closer the policies in the plan to the policies in the Framework, the greater the weight that may be given).”
- Accordingly, until it is five years old, an adopted local plan will not be “out of date” on the basis of applying the proposed new standard method for assessing local housing need, but rather on the basis of whether it can demonstrate a five year supply of deliverable housing sites (calculated by reference to the housing requirement set out in strategic policies in the plan), with the appropriate buffer set out in paragraph 76 and has delivered at least 75% of its housing requirement over the last three years. Once the plan is five years old, the tilted balance will apply if there is not at least a five year supply of deliverable housing sites as against their new standard method local housing need figure (and delivery of 75% of its housing requirement over the last three years).
- This applies to plans submitted for examination or adopted no later than one month after publication of the final version of the draft revised NPPF (see paragraph 226). For plans not adopted by that date the following transitional arrangements apply (in summary) as per paragraphs 226 and 227:
Where a plan was submitted for examination within a month of publication of the revised NPPF with a local housing requirement that is more than 200 dwellings lower than the relevant local housing need (under the new standard method), once the plan is adopted, the authority will be “expected to commence plan-making in the new plan-making system at the earliest opportunity to address the shortfall in housing need”. [There is no reference in the draft revised NPPF as to how long the authority has to conclude that process before its plan will be treated other than set out in my emboldened paragraph above. Surely this needs to be clarified, because otherwise it is a recipe for confusion at best and gaming of the system at worst].
Where a local plan has reached regulation 19 pre-submission stage with an emerging annual housing requirement that is more than 200 dwellings lower than the relevant local housing need (under the new standard method), the plan should proceed to examination within 18 months of publication of the revised NPPF. [There is no express indication of what the consequences are if this deadline is missed; presumably the need to plan as against the relevant local housing need (under the new standard method) – again, shouldn’t this be clarified?].
Hence presumably why we are seeing some authorities speed up with their emerging plans, with an eye on baking in housing targets based on the current standard method, although of course that is only going to work if their plans do not require significant further work during the examination process to make them sound (see the planning minister’s 30 July 2024 letter to the Planning Inspectorate).
I will try to make next weekend’s post (if there is one: I just remembered it’s the Oxford Joint Planning Law Conference – may see you there) more exciting, sorry.
Simon Ricketts, 14 September 2024
Personal views, et cetera

Oldest example of tilted balance: photo by Manish Tulaskar courtesy of Unsplash