As Zack Simons noted in his LinkedIn post this morning (27 July 2024), there was a detailed story in today’s Times as to what will be in the consultation draft revised NPPF. As Zack summarises:
“- Tuesday’s the day.
– 8 week consultation, new NPPF adopted late September.
– “Mandatory housing targets” going up by 50%.
– That’s a circa 100,000 home national increase to what we now call “local housing need”. Changes include: (i) “toughened” affordability ratios “to take account of how many people might move into an area if housing was cheaper”, and (ii) no use of “previous oversupply of housing to reduce future targets”.
– Councils “must review protections for the green belt if they cannot meet their housing need on brownfield land”.”
It’s such a detailed story that depressingly the new Government is obviously continuing the previous Government’s routine practice of trailing imminent significant announcements in the weekend newspapers as unattributed news stories rather than first announcing them in Parliament. Easy spin, easy journalism.
However, the story is totally and deliberately useless as anything that can yet be relied upon.
Here are some of the things I’ll be looking to understand on Tuesday (no surprise it’s Tuesday: that’s when the House of Commons rises for the summer):
- I assume that the consultation document will be accompanied by a ministerial statement setting out the Government’s policy objectives underlying the document. This is important because, subject to anything specified to the contrary, then the statement and at least the direction of travel demonstrated by the draft is capable of being a material consideration in the determination of planning applications and appeals, with the weight to be given to it a matter for the decision maker. Depending on its potential relevance to current applications and appeals, the decision maker may choose to invite representations as to the implications for the particular application or appeal of what has been published, and, indeed, in some circumstances decisions may be susceptible to legal challenge if such an announcement is “obviously material” and not taken into account. So as much as its content, what will be important will be the tone of the consultation (is the consultation just about detailed wording or is it more open-minded, testing alternative potential approaches?) and of the accompanying statement or statements (particularly, what is said about its immediate intended effect). (And incidentally what we don’t want is for decision-makers to conclude that they need to wait for the final version!)
- What transitional arrangements, if any, are proposed in relation to emerging and adopted local plans before their policies are to be treated as out of date by virtue of the new policies and targets? After all, we still have a plan-led system.
- To what extent will the requirement that councils “must review protections for the green belt if they cannot meet their housing need on brownfield land” simply be a peeling back of the December 2023 revision to the NPPF?
- If local housing targets are going to be increased, does this mean that the consultation process will include (long awaited) proposed revisions to the standard method? If so, how extensive will the changes be? For instance will the 35% uplift remain for England’s 20 largest towns and cities?
- Is this going to be a “big bang” set of NPPF changes delivering on all that has been previously trailed by Labour, for instance giving some reality to the “grey belt” notion, or (possibly more pragmatically) are we to expect a further set of revisions before long, possibly alongside a proposed initial set of national development management policies and/or alongside guidance to reflect the amended local plans system enabled by the Levelling-up and Regeneration Act?
- What about anything other than housing?
- When really will we see the final version? Eight weeks’ consultation takes us to the end of September. To avoid an obvious legal challenge, the Government will need to consider properly the representations received (and there will be many). My bet is that the final version will be October at the earliest (12 October is the 100th day after the election and they will be going very fast to publish by then…).
Anyone else remember the annual Beaujolais Nouveau races? That used to be how the industry routinely did business development, for better or worse, before we all became amateur journalists. These days its more sober and less fun replacement is the “who can get their NPPF text mark-up up first on LinkedIn” game. But that’s a young person’s sport. I’ll be truffle-hunting instead for the answers to those seven questions.
Simon Ricketts, 27 July 2024
Personal views, et cetera

Photo by Maja Petric courtesy Unsplash


